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Cake day: December 9th, 2023

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  • These violations could trigger provisions in U.S. law that should block military assistance to individual units of the Philippine military who can be credibly accused of committing gross violations of human rights.

    The “Leahy law,” a term for two such provisions that came into focus during Israel’s war [edit genocide not war] in Gaza, ensures that no foreign military unit guilty of human rights violations receives U.S. assistance until it has taken prescribed remediation efforts. Its namesake, former U.S. Senator Patrick Leahy, was banned from the Philippines in 2019 after supporting a critic of Duterte.

    “A major goal of the Leahy law is accountability,” said John Ramming Chappell, the advocacy and legal advisor at the U.S. program of the Center for Civilians in Conflict. “This is a cornerstone law when it comes to human rights and security assistance in the United States.” Chappell said that, while the white phosphorus incident would not fall under the auspices of the Leahy law, it “raises questions about how security forces in question are identifying civilians and determining civilian status,” a duty of allied militaries under international humanitarian law.

    The Leahy law has had little effect in stemming human rights abuses within the Philippine military, despite a history of U.S. government concerns with its behavior. Charles Blaha, who served as director of the State Department’s Office of Security and Human Rights from 2016 to 2023, said his department focused on the Philippine police, who killed thousands in Duterte’s deadly drug war, and did not recall the law being applied to military units involved in the counterinsurgency

    “Human rights can get outweighed by other factors,” Blaha said…





  • Ukraine gaining approximate artillery parity, depletion of Russian armor and Ukrainian deep strike efforts becomingly increasingly devastating to Russian logistics as Russian air defenses/radar are obliterated leaving gaping holes into fragile parts of Russia’s war machine in the wake of their destruction (Russia is failing to replace destroyed radar, they don’t have the production nor maintenence capability too). The point I identify was somewhere in late summer when it became clear the Russian summer offensive was failing to do anything but take tiny amounts of territory in exchange for shocking losses.

    Further Russia is transitioning to indiscriminate flying bomb attacks on civilians which is itself a blatant sign Russia feels it looks too weak on the actual battlefield to project strength and inevitability.






  • Big reasons are Trump needs a distraction from Epstein and horrendous economy and Russia’s military is falling apart.

    Russia still hasn’t taken Pokrovsk and the professional core to the Russian military has been obliterated by brutal attrition. All Putin has accomplished is to prove to the world Russia is no longer a military superpower.

    This is the best moment Russia will get, the longer they fight the more they will lose, and the losses will be increasingly catastrophic for Russia.